Economic rebalancing has mixed impact on ASEAN
Updated: 2013-07-29 17:33
(Xinhua)
|
||||||||
On foreign exchange front, the performance would vary greatly among ASEAN economies from a rapid slowdown in China's economy.
Nomura Global Markets Research believed that open economies such as Singapore are most at risk from a slowdown in trade and potential capital outflows.
Depreciation risks also exist in Malaysian currency, as the country has the high level of foreign bond positioning and is susceptible to the risk of capital outflows.
While Thai baht's underperformance is unlikely to be as severe as the currencies of Singapore and Malaysia, its vulnerability has grown given its increased dependence on China through trade channels.
In contrast, the currency performance of Indonesia and the Philippines should prove to be more resilient to China's slowdown, since recent Bank of Indonesia's tightening stance should help to stabilize rupiah, and the strength of the Philippines'economy driven primarily by domestic demand and a structurally strong current account surplus should make its peso to become a relative out-performer in the region.
CIMB Research said given the importance of vertical supply chain links with China, ASEAN trade performance will be hurt if China's exports slow. Among ASEAN economies, Malaysia's export share to China is the largest at 12.6 percent, followed by the Philippines, Thailand, Indonesia and Singapore at 11.8 percent, 11.7 percent, 11.4 percent and 10.8 percent respectively.
Asiana crash victims' ashes returned to relatives
7 killed in Florida shooting spree
Sun Yang takes gold in 400m freestyle
Six dead, 12 missing in landslides, floods
Complaints spike over subpar baby formula imports
EU solar trade dispute diffused
Deliveries up as mercury rises
DPRK stages military parade
Most Viewed
Editor's Picks
![]()
|
![]()
|
![]()
|
![]()
|
![]()
|
![]()
|
Today's Top News
Pakistan condemns latest US drone strike
Experts advise CEOs on how to make it in the US
Israeli-Palestinian peace talks to resume
Latest US-China talks should smooth the way
Audit targets local government debt
30 people killed in Italy coach accident
Brain drain may be world's worst
Industry cuts cloth to measure up to buyers' needs
US Weekly
![]()
|
![]()
|