Yuan not seen falling sharply
Updated: 2016-08-09 08:30
By JIANG XUEQING(China daily)
|
|||||||||
A clerk counts yuan at a bank in Nantong, East China's Jiangsu province, July 28, 2016. [PHOTO PROVIDED TO CHINA DAILY] |
The Chinese currency will not depreciate sharply against the dollar by the end of this year, said Societe Generale SA, the French international banking group and financial services company.
He Xin, head of trading and managing director of Societe Generale China, said that he expected the yuan to fall slightly against the dollar to 6.8 at most in the next couple of months.
"The People's Bank of China, the central bank, has a strong ability and willingness to stabilize the exchange rates of the yuan," he said.
His forecast is based on the belief that the greenback will not get too strong, forecasting that the US Dollar Index may fluctuate between 92 and 97, rather than hitting 100.
Moreover, the US Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates until December or next year, due to significantly lower than expected second-quarter GDP numbers and the pressure to stabilize the stock market before the presidential election, he said.
Speaking of the possibility of an interest rates hike, Robert S. Kaplan, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said during a speech in Beijing on Tuesday: "Any removal of (monetary policy) accommodation in the US is got to be done gradually, patiently and cautiously, and subject to progress from upcoming data on reaching our dual mandated objectives."
As China has made a decision to allow the currency to float and also peg it against a basket of other currencies, he said, what comes with that is in light of the economic conditions here, China is going to have some currency volatility.
Based on his observation of the yuan exchange rates earlier this year, he said: "If you have a sudden and surprise adjustment in currencies, it can be jarring to China and then very quickly to the financial conditions around the world."
"It's going to take many years, maybe decades, for China to manage through overcapacity, high level of debt to GDP and industry transition. I think sudden jarring traumas would make that adjustment more challenging," he said.
- Chinese scientists claim possible breakthrough in HIV, hepatitis cure
- Connection lost: does technology make long distance dating harder?
- Chinese firm reports record-breaking optic fiber transmission
- Travel in space poised to spread its wings
- Tibet envisioned as hub of Himalayas
- Health certificate steps reduced for foreigners
- Nepal's newly elected PM takes oath
- Texas gun law worries incoming students
- China vows to deepen economic, trade cooperation with ASEAN
- Fire guts Emirates jet after hard landing; 1 firefighter dies
- Egypt's Nobel-laureate scientist dies of illness in US
- THAAD muscle flexing unmasks anxiety over declining hegemony
- Ace swimmers make record-breaking splash in Rio
- Chinese weightlifter Long smashes world record
- China wins first diving gold of Rio Games
- Fancy diving and mahjong at same time? No problem
- Qingdao delights taste buds with seafood delicacies
- Big names train for Rio 2016
- Photo exhibition narrates charm of old Beijing
- Traditional Tibetan handicrafts kept alive in SW China
Most Viewed
Editor's Picks
Anti-graft campaign targets poverty relief |
Cherry blossom signal arrival of spring |
In pictures: Destroying fake and shoddy products |
China's southernmost city to plant 500,000 trees |
Cavers make rare finds in Guangxi expedition |
Cutting hair for Longtaitou Festival |
Today's Top News
US launches airstrikes against IS targets in Libya's Sirte
Ministry slams US-Korean THAAD deployment
Two police officers shot at protest in Dallas
Abe's blame game reveals his policies failing to get results
Ending wildlife trafficking must be policy priority in Asia
Effects of supply-side reform take time to be seen
Chinese State Councilor Yang Jiechi to meet Kerry
Chinese stocks surge on back of MSCI rumors
US Weekly
Geared to go |
The place to be |